Thursday, August 16, 2007

Is it in the Cards again?

Having not paid a whole lot of attention to the standings besides the AL East, I took a look today to see that the NL Central is becoming a tight race. We wrote on here way back in May about the Milwaukee Brewers and how exciting it is to see a team who hasn't been good for quite some time seriously rebuild the last few years and put together some top young talent. In my midseason review, I stated that the Brewers would be able to hold their own--which is the equivalent of saying they had the division wrapped up. But now it's starting to look like I could be wrong.

For one, the Cubs have made a decent comeback. But the team that has me wondering is the Cardinals--the defending World Series Champions. A look back to the records of Milwaukee, Chicago, and St. Louis on May 31st and how they've done since then will show what I'm talking about:

Milwaukee 30-24, 32-34 since 5/31
Chicago 22-29, 38-30 since 5/31
St. Louis 22-29, 35-31 since 5/31

St. Louis hasn't been as good as the Cubs, but Milwaukee's sub-.500 record currently puts the Cards 3.5 games out of first place. Last year the NL Central followed a similar story where the Cardinals were hot out of the gate and then had a horrendous finish to the season. The caveat to it was the Houston Astros who on this date last year were 57-63 and 6.5 games out, but came within half a game on 9/28/06 of the first place Cardinals.

So my question is, are the Cardinals this years Houston Astros? And could they feasibly make a run at the NL Central title?

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Scooter

Today is a sad day in Yankee land as Phil "Scooter" Rizzuto passed away this morning at the age of 89. While the link will provide details about his playing and broadcasting career, I wanted to offer my thoughts about Scooter.

There are three reasons why I became a Yankee fan: 1) I always loved baseball since I was a kid, 2) Don Mattingly, and 3) Phil Rizzuto. Before there was the YES Network Yankees games were featured on WPIX-NY, which was channel 11, and MSG Network, which was channel 10 (at least this was the case in NJ where I grew up). Phil Rizzuto broadcasted for WPIX-NY. I can remember from the time I was about age seven up into high school, I watched the Yankees on these channels and Phil Rizzuto was the first baseball broadcaster who connected with me even as a young fan.

Besides his "Holy Cow" cry anytime there was an exciting play, Phil Rizzuto was always a genuine broadcaster who loved the game and especially Yankees history--which he was a part of. Being so young and watching my firstYankees games, Scooter was always like a grandfather figure as a broadcaster to me, because he always had fun stories to tell about the Yankee greats, past dynasties, and the history of the team. Scooter embedded in me what it means to be a true Yankee fan even when the team at the time hardly resembled the great teams of the past.

Before his passing today, when I caught a Yankees game on the YES Network or even FOX I would sometimes think about Scooter and wish he'd broadcast just one more for us all. There was always something special about his approach in the booth and though I've missed it since he last called a game in 1996, I will miss it even more after today.







Monday, August 13, 2007

Hindsight and Foresight: Yankees Review August 6th to August 19th

Free at last! My conference is over and while I haven't been able to catch the Yankees of late, they are still the hottest team in baseball. We are now seeing an exciting AL East race where a little over a month ago no such thing existed. But it ain't over til it's over or at least until the fat lady sings and we still have seven weeks of baseball left. In regards to Doug's comments about Boston writers saying the Yankees were over back in May and June, he doesn't need to look any further than me who had serious doubts about the Yankees this year. But for the record, I never wrote them off saying at the All-Star break:

"Rather than trying to win the AL East this year, the Yankees need to set their sights on climbing up in the Wild Card standings if they want to push for the playoffs"

but also stated

"I'm not downplaying the possibility that the Yankees could come back and make the World Series this year. It's possible, but quite unlikely. I figured a season like this would happen one year or another where the Yankees are a team of superstars, many past their prime or entering the downturn in their careers, and suddenly a lot of them have off years, get injured, etc and it all shows in their record."

I'm definetely not going to take back what I said about my doubts. All that was going wrong can still come back and hurt their chances down the stretch. So while Boston writers and some fans wrote the Yankees off early on, we certainly can't write them into the playoffs just yet, because it's going to be very close and they have some tough teams ahead. That is not doubt talking, that is just reality.


Hindsight: August 6th to August 12th

The last time we saw A-Rod getting into it with someone was back in 2004 with V-Tek. Everyone knew that Toronto was going to bean A-Rod and A-Rod probably knew how he was going to react. Unfortunately the first throw at A-Rod missed him and went behind him, so they drilled him the next day instead. Bean wars are a part of the game, I don't condone them, but it's one of the few choices teams have to retaliate. Of course they cost players and managers games when they go too far, so Clemens will sit for five and Torre sat his one game. But the Yankees rolled through Toronto, though Wang and Co. got shelled on Wednesday and went into Cleveland where the Indians played poorly. Hughes pitched a brilliant game as did Mussina. Cleveland had a rally going late on Sunday, but fell short to Rivera who struggled early coming in but then struck out Cabrera and Sizemore. The nice addition to the Yankes this week was Joba Chamberlain who's really in a groove.

Weekly Stats

W-L: 5-1
RS/RA: 40/27
Offensive Numbers (BA/OBP/SLG): .338/.389/.572
Pitching Line (ERA/Whip/K per 9/BAA/SLG): 3.90/1.30/8.74/.260/.386

Who's Hot: Melky Cabrera, who's got a 17 game hitting streak and hit .440 this week.
Who's Not: Chien Ming Wang pitched his worst outting ever (I believe), just 2 2/3 IP and 8ERs.
My Yankee of the Week: Joba Chamberlain has been lights out. It was only four innings, but he struck out six in those innings with some heat and nice offspeed stuff. Fun stuff to watch!

Foresight: August 13th to August 19th
The Yankees start a homestand with three against the O's and then three against Detroit. Sheff will return to the Bronx on Friday and I'll be at the game Saturday to see how the reaction is to him. The Detroit series will also have the two leading candidates for MVP--A-Rod and Magglio Ordonez--go up against each other. So far this year the Yankees are 23-7 against the AL Central division (KC helped) and Detroit has been around .500 since the All-Star break, so they could make some upward movement in the standings (AL East and Wild Card). Going beyond the 19th though the Yankees face some tough teams through the end of August including the Angels and Red Sox. They should be glad for their hot start because they have the upperhand in the AL right now.

Friday, August 10, 2007

just a quick one

Six games. Six games? SIX GAMES?

Now is the time for all good New England columnists (I'm looking at you, Dan Shaugnessy) to scold everyone who wrote the Yankees off back in May. The fact that these columnists were the same people who were so eager to declare the Yankees D.O.A. a few months ago doesn't matter - what matters is being able to write doom and gloom stories about the Red Sox and the inevitability of another Yankee triumph.

I don't really have any interest in going there - there's still a lot of baseball to be played by both the Red Sox and Yankees before the end of the season. The Sox have the pitching to succeed in the postseason, which the Yankees don't, but the Yankees may very well mash their way into the postseason if they continue to put up Football scores.

So Barry Bonds broke Aaron's record, and everyone is all boo-hoo because Henry Aaron was such a class act, and Bonds is such a jerk, and isn't this the worst thing that has ever happened in the entirety of Western Civilization?

People were upset when Aaron passed Ruth, but that had more to do with racism. Today, people would probably celebrate it due to the fact that Aaron is a great guy, and Ruth was a boozing, womanizing boor.

I get a kick out of the fact that people are already counting down to A-Rod surpassing Bonds, which is acceptable because A-Rod is what the french call un jerk au naturale. Sure, he's been convicted of one cheap play (the Arroyo wrist slap) and indicted for another ("Mine!", "Ha!", whatever) and he's self-important, arrogant, alienates his teammates, and is ridiculously overpaid, BUT no one has ever accused him of juicing.

Now, that's what I call a hero!

It's curious that people care so much about liking the man who holds an important record. I mean, Nolan Ryan would drill his own grandmother in the skull if he thought she was crowding the plate, but no one says boo about his all-time strikeout record.

The guys who are 1-2 on the all-time hit list are a player banned from baseball due to gambling on his own team and a virulent racist who once pistol-whipped a man to death. Where's the outrage there?

A recent SI poll of active players showed that Tigers' first baseman Sean Casey is the nicest/best-liked player in baseball by an overwhelming margin. The solution to the ethical conundrum of who holds important records is simple: invalidate the statistics of every active, former, and future major league player who surpasses Casey in Hits, Runs, Doubles, Triples, Home Runs, RBIs, Walks, and Stolen Bases, making "The Mayor" the all-time leader in each category.

No one will have to quibble with someone they personally dislike holding a major record then, right?

Monday, August 6, 2007

Hindsight and Foresight: Yankees Review July 30th to August 16th

19-7. That's the Yankees record since the All-Star break which is best in the majors. The Red Sox lead has shrunk little by little but there are still 50 games or so left in the season. The good news is that with the Tigers and Mariners posting sub-.500 records since the All-Star break and now the Yankees are back in the Wild Card race. A month ago we were looking at a team below .500 that looked lost and ineffective. Now everyone's hitting and the pitching is much better than it was in April and May. Oh, and A-Rod hit his 500th homer so he can sleep a little better these days.


It's funny how baseball teams can suddenly get back into things as the Yankees have. It works the opposite way as well. But when players play up to or beyond their expectations and your schedule is easy, then you have a chance to play catch up--as is the Yankees situation right now.

This is likely my only post this week, maybe Doug will get back on here, but I don't see myself having free time with this conference for work and all. I got home at 10pm tonight which is early considering how some co-workers had all nighters recently.


Hindsight: July 30th to August 5th

A nice week for the Yankees offensively and pitching wise. And by week's end they were 10 games over .500, which is their best so far this year. Just about everyone on offense from A-Rod to Jeter to Matsui came through, but the most noteworthy player has been Robinson Cano. This happened last year as well after Cano came back from the DL with a hammy injury and tore it up in August and September--almost winning the batting title. It seems his struggles and Matsui's are behind them. Wang contines to be an undervalued major league pitcher and is now at 13-5. What's most amazing is that he has 13 quality starts this year, he's kept the team in some close ones.

Weekly Stats

W-L: 5-1

RS/RA: 53/32


Offensive Numbers (BA/OBP/SLG): .369/.436/.723


Pitching Line (ERA/Whip/K per 9/BAA/SLG): 4.06/1.37/7.49/.280/.435


Who's Hot: Robinson Cano has pulled out for the second year in a row the "I'll kick your ass in the second half" batting stick. .478/3 HR/9 RBI and a 1.643 OPS to boot. He's raised in BA from .274 to .309 in a matter of a few weeks.


Who's Not: Roger Clemens. Yes the one doing the new cell phone commercial with his wife and has the highest salary in baseball. We haven't talked about Clemens on here in a while, but he was aweful having the shortest outting since the 2000 playoffs. Cano should take some blame as he booted an inning ending double play but it is Roger's job to get us out of the inning.


My Yankee of the Week: Alex Rodriguez. He was trying to hit #500 for so long. Trying to hit homeruns in baseball it never a good thing--look how long it's take Barry Bonds to reach 755 (11 homeruns through May) and now has to hit 756 or how hard Alfonso Soriano tried to hit #40 in 2002 to get into the 40/40 club (Soriano didn't not succeed). Anyway, he's worthy of being the fasest to reach 500 and still worthy of a post on this blog (next week, I swear).


Foresight: August 6th to August 12th
Off to Toronto and Cleveland on the road. This will be the Yankees first trip back to Toronto since the "ha" or "mine" or whatever A-Rod yelled incident, so you have to wonder what will happen if anything. It's that time of year where you have to start looking at other teams' schedules especially indivisons where a race is tight or where the Wild Card race is tight. For the Yankees, Detroit, whom they play in a couple weeks at home, has been falling a la their 2006 style, but Seattle has been under .500 since the break as well. I've said it once and I'll say it again, the Yankees second half schedule helps them if they can only beat the teams that they need to win against. Finally they are doing that after the break, but need to keep it up.

Thursday, August 2, 2007

Slight Return

While I am still living in a state of almost paleolithic squalor in the absence of an internet connection at my home, it appears that I have some time here at work to throw down some thoughts, so I wanted to do so while I had the chance.

Kudos to Teddy for keeping up with everything in my extended absence - soon I will be back to my 3/4 posts per week, and I've certainly been letting this lag too long.

The main points of discussion here have to be deadline deals - the Sox nabbed Eric Gagne, the Yankees Wilson Betemit.

What I know about Eric Gagne is that he, like Flash Gordon, was once a promising starter who never quite lived up to his promise who was then converted to closer, set a record for converting consecutive Save opportunities, and then had his career derailed by injuries.

He seems to have bounced back into circulation sooner than Flash did in the late '90s/the early part of this decade, and his name still conjures images of Eckerslian dominance rather than reliable setup work and a pencil-thin mustache. Gagne is likely to be simply a rent-a-player, (a la Larry Anderson) but he should be a Class A free agent, which means beaucoup de compensation picks for the Red Sox, and I don't have any concerns about Kason Gabbard, David Murphy, or Engel Beltre beginning a decade and a half long career of Hall of Fame excellence starting next season.

The deal essentially gives the Sox three closers (Papelbon, Gagne, and Okajima) and will mean fewer high-stress innings for the excellent but still inexperienced Manny Delcarmen. Donnelly is out for the season now, and Timlin may be going on the DL to make room when Schilling comes back. Javier Lopez is the only other lefty in the pen, so a decision may have to be made between Snyder and Tavarez at some point. If Timlin goes on the DL until the end of August, then the Sox can avoid having to make a decision once rosters expand. If the choice did come down to Snyder or Tavarez, I'd take Snyder (sure he only throws in the 60s, but he doesn't have the Chernobylesque meltdowns that Tavarez does) but I think the Sox would hold onto Tavarez due to the amount they're paying him, and in honor of services rendered as a starter this season.

As for the Yankees and Betemit... huh? The only way this makes sense is that they wanted to trade Scott Proctor before his arm physically fell of his body and the Yankees' medical premiums went up. I know the logic is that Betemit could play some first... or can fill the Luis Sojo/Enrique Wilson Memorial Supersub role, or that he will be the in-house replacement if A-Rod opts out at the end of the season.

Say what?

What I know about Wilson Betemit was that he was touted coming up for the Braves, who were forced to trade him due to Chipper Jones refusal to permanently move off of third base even if he played the position like an elephant in a tutu. He then went to the Dodgers and was such a crushing disappointment that the Dodgers have resorted to playing Nomar "Banana Arm" Garciaparra at third base.

So what doomsday scenario should Yankees fans be waiting for if A-Rod opts out and Betemit steps in? I see a situation where the Boss, in one last blaze of senile, domineering glory, goes over Cash's head to overpay for Andruw Jones (the Braves will be using that money to extend Tex anyway) and the Yankees will wind up with Betemit at third, Jones in center, and Damon at first.

Of course, that's a lot less likely to happen than for Kyle Farnsworth to make disparaging remarks about, say... the NYFD. He hasn't done that yet (as far as I know) but golly, who hasn't that boy alienated lately?

Inactivity

I have returned, but my posting for the next couple of weeks will be lacking. So apologies to our readers--we wish this was all we did, but unfortunately like most of you all we're typical working people with lives (I think we both have lives). The excuses of late, for me a wedding/vacation and conference coming up for work (I am a slave to my employer right now), for Doug a continued lack of internet in the home.

But today this blog needed a post since there was the trade deadline and all the other day. This year's trading was the most anti-climatic in quite a while with the biggest trade being Mark Texiera going to the Braves. It was a solid trade for the Braves who got a slugger and reliever (Octavio Dotel) to make a return to the top of the NL East. Other than that, there were smaller but possibly significant trades. I won't review them all, but should discuss the Yankees trade and Red Sox trade.

The Red Sox got Eric Gagne for Kason Gabbard, David Murphy, and Engil Beltre. Murphy was once a solid prospect but has lost that status mulling around in the minors forever. I haven't heard of Beltre but Gabbard pitched decently in seven starts for the injured Curt Schilling. In my opinion this was a solid trade considering the Sox now have Gagne, Okajima and Papelbon to hold down the pen in the late innings. Gagne certainly isn't the Cy Young fireball pitcher he was three or four years ago, but he's done well enough as the Rangers closer this year. The Red Sox also traded away Joel Pinero to the Cardinal for a player to be named later. I can't say much other than Pinero's career has fallen apart in recent years and he was ineffective in the Red Sox pen.

For the Yankees, Scott Proctor was shipped to the Dodgers for utility infielder Wilson Betemit. Proctor was having a bad season to start with and I think the Dodgers must have seen his smoke signal when he lit up his glove and other equipment. Betemit, who I don't know much about, is young (25 years old) and small for his height (6' 2'', 155 pounds), but has some power. Last year between the Braves and Dodgers he hit 18 homeruns, but did have a knack for striking out a lot (102 times in 373 ABs). His numbers so far this year are way below last years. But he's a utility guy and perhaps he's better in the field (I have no numbers on that). If they Yankees decide to keep him after this year you can say so long to Miguel Cairo.

As the Yankee fan on here, it was good to see the Yankees hold their ground and not trade away prospects like Phil Hughes. With the way the Yankees have been playing of late, a huge blockbuster trade was not really needed--what more would another superstar type add anyway when the team is just figuring out it can win a lot of games in a short amount of time. Additionally, the Yankees had no significant injury that would hamper them for the rest of the season so the Cashman philosophy of rebuilding continues to march onward.

Back to the blog though, I will continue the Hindsight and Foresight next week, write a post on A-Rod and his contract (word to A-Rod, take a lesson from Bonds and stop trying to hit #500 every time you're up), and write something about the Red Sox.